Saturday, February 24, 2007

A book that can keep you awake!

Not happy with whatever success you achieve in the market? Perhaps you need Lessons from the Greatest Stock Traders of All Time, by John Boik, from Tata McGraw-Hill (www.tatamcgrawhill.com). The book profiles five individuals — Jesse Livermore, Bernard Baruch, Gerald M. Loeb, Nicolas Darvas and William J. O'Neil.

"Stock trading attracts many people because it's easy to try, and many view it as an easy and quick way to riches. But as the majority learn, most the hard way, it's not as easy as it seems. The stock market is an interesting display of expectations and emotions," writes Boik in the intro.

Runaway success


The tale of Livermore, the first among the five standout achievers discussed in the book, begins in the 19th century. In the early 1890s he began as a chalkboard boy, at $6 per week. His job was `to post the stock quotes on big chalkboards covering the length of the brokerage house as prices were called out by tape watchers sitting in the gallery as fast as they could yell them out from the ticker tape machines.' By the age of 20, Livermore was known as `The Boy Plunger' because of the runaway success he had in bucket shops, where one bet on the next move of the stock.

Over time, Livermore learnt an important lesson: Emotional control, or poise. "He knew that a healthy state of mental balance — one that was not to be influenced by hopes or fears — is a key skill of the successful trader." Patience is another virtue that he valued. "Also, being silent and keeping to yourself about your losses and your gains is a crucial skill."

Further traits that Boik infers from the master trader include: "Observation (stay focused only on factual data); memory (remember key events so you don't repeat mistakes); and mathematics (understand the numbers and fundamentals)." Avoid tips and information from others, reads a tip, drawn from Livermore's strategies. "Avoid cheap stocks," says another tip. "The big money is made in the big swings, and they usually don't come from cheap stocks."

Knowledge, the key


The story of the second star in the book, Baruch, begins with the lessons that he learnt early on, by analysing his losses.

He discovered `that most of his losses stemmed from a lack of knowledge of what he was investing in, such as the company's fundamentals and what the company's prospects were for future growth and profits'. Another culprit behind losses was trading beyond one's financial resources. Of universal relevance, you'd agree.

One of Baruch's quotes cited in the book is, "No speculator can be right all the time. In fact, if a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right three or four times out of ten should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he has been wrong."

Baruch is reported to have spoken about selling to the `sleeping point'. This means selling stocks if they keep you awake at night worrying about them, explains Boik.

A book that can keep you awake!

Friday, February 23, 2007

Intraday 23-02-07.

Buy:

Arvind Mill, can also consider buying in Century Tex, Bombay Dye etc but only at low levels.

In technology can consider Tech Mah, Satyam & Moser Baer

In Banking IDBI.

Sell almost all rest of the stocks.

Regards,
Bhavin.

Power Finance IPO Allotment Status.

POWER FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED IPO allotment status: Click Here

Tuesday, February 20, 2007

Enjoy KS Oil..

Monday, February 19, 2007

Intraday 19-02-07.

Buy:

Reliance;

Orchid Chem;

Zee News;

Redington;

Thermax;

Deccan Air;

Dewan Hous;

BOI.

In a bid to become the world's largest rose grower, city-based Karuturi Networks (KN) is looking at acquiring a large rose farm in Africa.

Having followed the Government's instruction last week tolower petrol and diesel prices, oil marketing companiesare likely to get the promised concession in terms of dutyreductions on petrol and diesel in the forthcoming Budget.The Government is understood to be weighing thepossibility of reducing customs duty on petrol and diesel to5 per cent from 7.5 per cent now. Similarly, ad valoremexcise duties on the two products are also tipped to fall to 6per cent from the current 8 per cent. However, the specificexcise duty - Rs 13.26 per litre on petrol and Rs 3.32 perlitre on diesel - will remain unchanged.


Regards,
Bhavin.

Intraday Outlook 19-02-07.

The Sensex, which gained over 340pts last Thursday, looks set to continue its rally this week with no major negatives seen hitting sentiment.

The Samjhauta Express blast last night may not turn the sentiment bearish as it seems like the handi-work of terror organisations.

The Sensex had closed with a gain of 345 points at 14,355 on Thursday, and the market was closed on Friday for Mahashivratri.

The Sensex faces first resistance around 14,457, and a move above 14,520 turns the mood completely bullish.

The index has its first major support around 14,254, and a move below 14,190 may turn the mood bearish.